2025-12-03
The economy is predicted to increase 7.37 percent in 2025, with the gross domestic product per capita to reach US$38,748 and consumer price index to gain 1.67 percent.
In a press release issued Nov. 28, the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics adjusted the forecasts for the third and fourth quarters upward to 8.21 percent and 7.91 percent, respectively. These strong numbers prompted the upward revision of the annual figure by 2.92 percent points.
The DGBAS attributed the strong performance in the third quarter to the 36.49 percent annual gain in commodity exports, thanks to better-than-expected global demand for products related to artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies. Robust private-sector spending also helped boost the forecast, the agency added.
For the fourth quarter of the year, the DGBAS said as AI-related applications continue to spur infrastructure development, demand for Taiwan’s products will remain strong and help the country’s commodity exports gain another 36.84 percent in the period.
The DGBAS also noted that the International Monetary Fund expects weaker global trade growth for 2026 as a result of U.S. tariff polices, in addition to uncertainties such as geopolitical challenges. As a result, the agency predicts the local economy will grow by 3.54 percent in 2026, the GDP will reach US$40,951 and the CPI will increase by 1.61 percent.
Source： Directorate General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Executive Yuan
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