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2019-05-08
According to latest quarterly World Economic survey[1] released today, ifo World Economic Climate indicator rose from -13.1 to -2.4 points in the second quarter 2019, having previously fallen four times in a row. Expectations for the coming months have brightened considerably, the assessment of the current situation has deteriorated only slightly. The ifo said, the global economy should gradually strengthen again over the course of the year.
In Taiwan, the experts’ assessment of current economic situation has deteriorated further. In contrast, the expectations for the coming months have improved significantly, which implied that the economy expansion should gradually strengthen in the second half of the year.
ifo World Economic Climate
2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Climate 13.5 13.2 17.1 26.0 16.5 2.9 -2.2 -13.1 -2.4
Situation 5.1 12.5 17.2 28.3 27.4 17.5 12.2 2.6 1.4
Expectations 22.2 14.0 16.9 23.9 6.1 -10.6 -15.7 -27.7 -6.1
Source: ifo World Economic Survey (WES) II/2019.
圖一
Source: ifo World Economic Survey (WES) II/2019.
圖二
Results of the WES for Taiwan (Present judgement)
notes: The WES is a qualitative survey. The respondents only need to answer the questions of "good", "satisfactory" and "bad" for the questions. The balance is the difference share between positive assessment responses and negative assessment responses.
Source: ifo World Economic Survey (WES) II/2019.The April 2019 survey received responses from 17 experts in Taiwan.
Results of the WES for Taiwan (Present judgement)
圖三
notes: The WES is a qualitative survey. The respondents only need to answer the questions of "better/higher", "about the same" and "worse/lower" for the questions. The balance is the difference share between positive assessment responses and negative assessment responses.
Source: ifo World Economic Survey (WES) II/2019. The April 2019 survey received responses from 17 experts in Taiwan.
[1] For more information, please visit https://www.cesifo-group.de/ifoHome.html
Related File(s)
ifoENG新聞稿2019Q2 odt pdf docx
Source: National Development Council (NDC)
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